利用SEBS(Surface Energy Balance System)模型,对塔克拉玛干沙漠及周边地区的地表能量通量进行模拟估算。通过修正适合于塔克拉玛干沙漠地表的参数化方案,结合该地区的MODIS遥感数据,将同期同化气象资料输入模型中,模拟出该地区的地表净辐射、地表土壤热通量、感热通量和潜热通量的空间分布。与塔克拉玛干沙漠大气环境观测试验站的实测数据对比,得出:1)SEBS模型在塔克拉玛干沙漠地区具有适用性;2)模型反演的沙漠腹地净辐射约为350W/m^2,感热通量在200W/m^2左右,潜热通量在±20W/m^2之间,其结果均与塔中站实测资料吻合较好。因此利用参数修正后的SEBS模型估计塔克拉玛干沙漠地区能量平衡各分量具有一定精度,可满足区域地表能量通量的计算要求。
Based on the meteorological data from 33 stations of Three Gorges Reservoir from 1960 to 2008,climate yield of rice,corn and winter wheat and the changes of climatic potential productivity after water storage in Three Gorges Reservoir were calculated by the dynamic statistic model of crop growth.The results showed that the temperature in Three Gorges Reservoir was fluctuant decreased before late 1980s,and warmed rapidly after the late 1980s.The precipitation had little change before the late 1990s and had a slight decrease after the late 1990s.Sunshine hours were more in 1960s and 1970s,and then it changed little after 1980s.After water storage,the temperature increased in Three Gorges Reservoir as a whole.The precipitation decreased in the south of Three Gorges Reservoir,while it increased in the northwest of Three Gorges Reservoir.The sunshine hours were reduced except that in the vicinity of Dianjiang.After water storage,climatic potential productivity of rice decreased in the northwest and the northeast,while it increased in the south of Three Gorges Reservoir.The climatic potential productivity of corn decreased in the northeast and the southwest,but increased in the rest of Three Gorges Reservoir.The climatic potential productivity of winter wheat increased almost in total.
