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国家自然科学基金(41175063)

作品数:4 被引量:55H指数:4
相关作者:张胜军许映龙更多>>
相关机构:中国气象科学研究院南京信息工程大学更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金大连市科技计划项目国家重点基础研究发展计划更多>>
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Interaction Between Typhoon Vicente(1208) and the Western Pacific Subtropical High During the Beijing Extreme Rainfall of 21 July 2012被引量:11
2015年
The heaviest rainfall in recent six decades fell in Beijing on 21 July 2012, reaching a record of 460 mm within 18 h. This rainfall was a typical remote precipitation event related to Typhoon Vicente(1208).Observational analysis indicates that Vicente influenced distant heavy rainfall by transporting water vapor northward to the Beijing area. This moisture transport was mainly driven by the interaction between Vicente and the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH) associated with the formation of a low-level southeasterly moisture channel. A set of numerical sensitivity experiments were performed with prescribed typhoons of different intensities to investigate the interaction between Vicente and the WPSH and its effects on this rainstorm process. The results indicate that the WPSH interacting with typhoons of different intensities may exert varying degrees of influence on the development of a southeasterly moisture channel, resulting in a change in rain rate and location over the Beijing area. Specifically, in the presence of an enhanced typhoon,the WPSH shows remarkable withdrawal to the east, which is favorable for a northward extension of the southeasterly moisture channel, thereby increasing moisture supply for the rainstorm. The WPSH tends to stretch westward in a zonal pattern if the typhoon is weakened or removed, hindering the northward extension of the moisture channel. Thus, the rainfall area may be expected to expand or contract, with corresponding increases or decreases in rain rate over the Beijing area with a strengthened or weakened typhoon, respectively.
文永仁薛霖李英魏娜吕爱民
关键词:TYPHOON
辽东半岛“达维”(1210)台风暴雨的诊断分析被引量:21
2015年
利用热带气旋年鉴、FY-2E卫星的云顶亮温(TBB)、大连地区逐时自动气象站降雨量资料、常规观测资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,对北上引发辽东半岛强降水过程的1210号台风达维(Damrey)和1209号台风苏拉(Saola)的环流背景和中尺度特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)副热带高压位置偏北且稳定为此次降水提供了有利的大尺度背景,双台风与副热带高压之间所形成的东南风低空急流为辽东半岛强降水提供了水汽和能量供应。台风"达维"东部和副热带高压西侧低空急流带上由β或γ中尺度雨团发展的中尺度对流复合体(MCC)是造成降水的直接系统。(2)"达维"与其南部台风苏拉环流的长时间相连,一方面有利于"达维"获得源源不断的水汽供应,加强其中尺度对流系统,另一方面有利于水汽在辽东半岛地区形成水汽辐合,使暴雨持续产生。(3)"达维"影响辽东半岛期间,其东北部的冷空气逆时针卷入,在半岛南部出现局地垂直次级环流,触发对流不稳定,有利于中尺度暴雨云团的发展。
梁军张胜军黄艇张彩凤李燕
关键词:辽东半岛双台风暴雨
台风定强技术及业务应用——以Dvorak技术为例被引量:11
2015年
回顾了台风业务定强Dvorak技术的发展历程,分析了我国台风业务定强技术流程改进的必要性,简要介绍了世界气象组织推荐使用的1984年版本的基于BD增强红外云图的Dvorak台风业务定强分析技术流程以及中央气象台在2012—2013年开展的业务试验及应用情况,最后对Dvorak技术本身的局限性及业务分析中存在的问题进行了讨论。业务试验及应用的结果表明:Dvorak技术的应用不仅提高了中央气象台台风业务定强的精度和客观技术支撑能力,而且也增强了我国台风业务定强数据与国际上其他台风业务中心的可比性。与中国气象局台风最佳路径资料对比检验表明,中央气象台台风业务定强平均精度由2011年的1.9m/s优化至2013年的1.3m/s,提高近32%;针对2013年中央气象台和日本气象厅所确定的共511个台风现时强度指数(CI)对比样本的检验结果表明,两者确定的CI指数基本一致,总体相差在±1.0之间,这种差异与两者进行Dvorak技术分析时所使用的卫星资料(MTSAT或FY2系列)不一致有关,同时也与预报员的实际分析经验有关。
许映龙张玲向纯怡
关键词:台风
A Modeling Study of Land Surface Process Impacts on Inland Behavior of Typhoon Rananim(2004)被引量:12
2013年
On 12 August 2004, Typhoon Rananim (0414) moved inland over China and stagnated over the Poyang Lake area, resulting in torrential rainfall and severe geologic hazards. The Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) model and its different land surface models (LSMs) were employed to study the impacts of land surface process on the inland behavior of Typhoon Rananim. Results show that simulations, coupled with LSMs or not, have no significant differences in predicting typhoon track, intensity, and largescale circulation. However, the simulations of mesoscale structure, rainfall rate, and rainfall distribution of typhoon are more reasonable with LSMs than without LSMs. Although differences are slight among LSMs, NOAH is better than the others. Based on outputs using the NOAH scheme, the interaction between land surtace and typhoon was explored in this study. Notably, typhoon rainfall and cloud cover can cool land surface, but rainfall expands the underlying saturated wetland area, which exacerbates the asymmetric distribution of surface heat fluxes. Accordingly, an energy frontal zone may form in the lower troposphere that enhances ascending motion and local convection, resulting in heavier rainfall. Moreover, the expanded underlying saturated wetlands provide plentiful moisture and unstable energy for the maintenance of Typhoon Rananim and increased rainfall in return.
魏娜李英
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