您的位置: 专家智库 > >

国家重点基础研究发展计划(s2012CB955203)

作品数:2 被引量:1H指数:1
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划更多>>
相关领域:理学天文地球更多>>

文献类型

  • 2篇中文期刊文章

领域

  • 1篇天文地球
  • 1篇理学

主题

  • 1篇OVER
  • 1篇PREDIC...
  • 1篇REGION...
  • 1篇USING
  • 1篇COMPLE...
  • 1篇DISTRI...
  • 1篇EVENTS
  • 1篇EVENT
  • 1篇SYNCHR...
  • 1篇ATTRIB...
  • 1篇SPATIO...

传媒

  • 2篇Chines...

年份

  • 1篇2015
  • 1篇2014
2 条 记 录,以下是 1-2
排序方式:
Predicting extreme rainfall over eastern Asia by using complex networks被引量:1
2014年
A climate network of extreme rainfall over eastern Asia is constructed for the period of 1971-2000, employing the tools of complex networks and a measure of nonlinear correlation called event synchronization (ES). Using this network, we predict the extreme rainfall for several cases without delay and with n-day delay (1 ≤ n ≤ 10). The prediction accuracy can reach 58% without delay, 21% with 1-day delay, and 12% with n-day delay (2 ≤ n ≤ 10). The results reveal that the prediction accuracy is low in years of a weak east Asia summer monsoon (EASM) or 1 year later and high in years of a strong EASM or 1 year later. Furthermore, the prediction accuracy is higher due to the many more links that represent correlations between different grid points and a higher extreme rainfall rate during strong EASM years.
何苏红封泰晨龚艳春黄雁华吴成国龚志强
关键词:PREDICTIONSYNCHRONIZATION
Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and attribution of extreme regional low temperature event
2015年
Based on an objective identification technique for regional low temperature event(OITRLTE), the daily minimum temperature in China has been detected from 1960 to 2013. During this period, there were 60 regional extreme low temperature events(ERLTEs), which are included in the 690 regional low temperature events(RLTEs). The 60 ERLTEs are analyzed in this paper. The results show that in the last 50 years, the intensity of the ERLTEs has become weak; the number of lasted days has decreased; and, the affected area has become small. However, that situation has changed in this century.In terms of spatial distribution, the high intensity regions are mainly in Northern China while the high frequency regions concentrate in Central and Eastern China. According to the affected area of each event, the 60 ERLTEs are classified into six types. The atmospheric circulation background fields which correspond to these types are also analyzed. The results show that, influenced by stronger blocking highs of Ural and Lake Baikal, as well as stronger southward polar vortex and East Asia major trough at 500-h Pa geopotential height, cold air from high latitudes is guided to move southward and abnormal northerly winds at 850 h Pa makes the cold air blow into China along diverse paths, thereby forming different types of regional extreme low temperatures in winter.
封泰晨张珂铨苏海晶王晓娟龚志强张文煜
共1页<1>
聚类工具0