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7 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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半干旱半湿润流域模型结构与流域特性的联结分析
概念性水文模型数量庞大种类繁多,如何选择合适的水文模型,仍是未解的难题。本文选取6种概念性水文模型,以板桥、马渡王、志丹这3个产汇流特征差异巨大的半干旱半湿润流域为研究区域,探讨模型结构与流域特性之间的关系,分析流域地理...
李致家姜婷婷黄鹏年
关键词:降雨径流关系地形指数
Inter-annual variation of streamflow,precipitation and evaporation in a small humid watershed(Chengcun Basin,China)
2014年
For sustainable water resource management,it is important to determine the relationship between streamfl ow and other variables that infl uence availability of water resources.However,many catchments do not have suffi cient data to allow for a more detailed study of these relationships.We faced a similar challenge in the Chengcun Basin(limited historical data: from 1986–1999); and therefore we used a new approach to overcome this.We found that,using nonparametric trend methods in conjunction with the climate elasticity analyses and the 2D visualization of hydrologic data,it is possible to assess the relationships between streamfl ow and other hydro-climatic variables.In the past,streamfl ow trends in the basin were more correlated with precipitation than with potential evapotranspiration(PET).In addition,there is a gradual shift in the hydrological regime of the catchment,which may affect the occurrence of available water resources and activities that depend on them.In addition,based on our climate sensitivity analyses,the streamfl ow is dependent and more sensitive to variations in precipitation than to PET(δQ=0.79δP+0.42δE; precipitation elasticity,ε P=1.32; PET elasticity,ε E=-2.10).Therefore pending more detailed studies,the use of our approach will provide a rapid means to assess the variation of water resources(streamfl ow)in a watershed.In the future,we hope to carry out related research in other watersheds and also perform a more detailed studies to improve upon the results of this study.
Mark AMO-BOATENG李致家管仪庆
关键词:TREND
改进的神经网络模型在水文模拟中的应用
神经网络在水文模拟应用中存在两个难题:为保障精度需采用实时校正模式,输入前期实测流量才能实现连续模拟;网络泛化能力弱,检验期精度比率定期明显下降。为解决这些难题,将BP神经网络与K-最近邻(KNN)算法相耦合,建立BK(...
阚光远李致家刘志雨李巧玲胡友兵
关键词:水文模型BP神经网络K-最近邻算法新安江模型
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Applying a statistical method to streamflow reduction caused by underground mining for coal in the Kuye River basin被引量:8
2016年
Streamflow in the Kuye River basin has been sharply reduced by the effects of climate change and human activities.Since 1997,the intensification of coal mining has resulted in substantial reductions to streamflow alongside an ever-increasing demand for water.In this study,we present a derived statistical method,incorporating the Mann-Kendall and Pettitt method(MK-P) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT),and apply it to estimating the streamflow reductions caused by underground mining for coal in the Kuye River basin.The results show that underground mining is an important cause of the streamflow reductions observed since1997,being responsible for reductions of 21.15 mm/yr(~56%of the total) during 1997-2009.The results of the SWAT simulation were assessed by several performance criteria:Nash-Suttcliffe Efficiency(Nse),correlation coefficient(R^2),relative error(RE),P-factor and Pv-factor.The close match between the simulations and observed data supports the reasonability of our findings.We suggest that engineering strategies be adopted to limit streamflow loss into goafs via fractured zones in the coalfield.
LI ShuCHEN YuanFangLI ZhiJiaZHANG Ke
Applying a statistical method to streamflow reduction caused by underground mining for coal in the Kuye River basin
2017年
The original version of this article unfortunately contained a mistake. One grant number was incorrect. The correct Acknowledgements should read: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51309107, 51309108, 41130639 and 51179045), the Public Welfare Program (Grant Nos. 201501022 and 201301068), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Public Welfare Research Institutes (Grant No. HKY-JBYW-2013-19) and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant Nos. 2014B34914 and 2015B28514). © 2017, Science China Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
LI ShuCHEN YuanFangLI ZhiJiaZHANG Ke
半干旱半湿润流域模型结构与流域特性的联结分析
概念性水文模型数量庞大种类繁多,如何选择合适的水文模型,仍是未解的难题。本文选取6种概念性水文模型,以板桥、马渡王、志丹这3个产汇流特征差异巨大的半干旱半湿润流域为研究区域,探讨模型结构与流域特性之间的关系,分析流域地理...
李致家姜婷婷黄鹏年
关键词:降雨径流关系地形指数
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基于标准化降水指数的蚌埠市近45年旱涝特征被引量:1
2013年
旱涝灾害是影响蚌埠市的主要气象灾害之一。利用蚌埠市4个县(市)气象站1967~2011年逐月降水资料,以标准化降水指数(SPI)为干旱指标,分析了近45年蚌埠市的旱涝特征。结果表明,SPI值具有阶段性特征,分别在1974年前后和20世纪90年代前期发生突变;SPI值在冬季和夏季呈增加趋势,在春季和秋季呈下降趋势,但趋势均不显著;季节性极端干旱发生频率比极端雨涝的发生频率大,而中度以下干旱发生的频率小于中度以下雨涝发生的频率;干旱发生频率最高的月份为3、4、5、11月,干旱发生频率最低的月份为9月,而雨涝发生频率最高的月份为2、7、11月,雨涝发生频率最低的月份为6月,在11月干旱和雨涝发生的频率均较高。
张春莉叶金印邱旭敏
关键词:标准化降水指数旱涝
Application and comparison of coaxial correlation diagram and hydrological model for reconstructing flood series under human disturbance被引量:3
2016年
Intense human activities have greatly changed the flood generation conditions in most areas of the world, and have destroyed the consistency in the annual flood peak and volume series. For design flood estimation, coaxial correlation diagram and conceptual hydrological model are two frequently used tools to adjust and reconstruct the flood series under human disturbance. This study took a typical mountain catchment of the Haihe River Basin as an example to investigate the effects of human activities on flood regime and to compare and assess the two adjustment methods. The main purpose is to construct a conceptual hydrological model which can incorporate the effects of human activities. The results show that the coaxial correlation diagram is simple and widely-used, but can only adjust the time series of total flood volumes. Therefore, it is only applicable under certain conditions(e.g. There is a strong link between the flood peaks and volumes and the link is not significantly affected by human activities). The conceptual model is a powerful tool to adjust the time series of both flood peak flows and flood volumes over different durations provided that it is closely related to the catchment hydrological characteristics, specifically accounting for the effects of human activities, and incorporating expert knowledge when estimating or calibrating parameters. It is suggested that the two methods should be used together to cross check each other.
HUANG Peng-nianLI Zhi-jiaLI Qiao-lingZHANG KeZHANG Han-chen
水文学与水力学方法在淮河中游的应用研究
淮河中游行蓄洪区运用频繁,该流域的的洪水预报调度是一个十分复杂的问题。文中对流域的行蓄洪状况进行合理概化处理,取得了较好的预报效果。常见的洪水演进方法有水文学方法(如马斯京根法)以及水力学方法(如差分求解一维圣维南方程组...
李致家刘开磊姚成阚光远常露
关键词:马斯京根法分洪流量实时校正
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山洪灾害气象风险预警指标确定方法研究
气象风险预警指标的确定是山洪灾害气象风险预报预警业务中的关键技术问题。采用前期影响雨量表征流域前期土壤含水量饱和度,并用四分位数法划分为4个等级;采用P-Ⅲ型频率分析法求得4个重现期(<5、≥5、≥20、≥50 a)的洪...
叶金印李致家刘静杨祖祥
关键词:山洪灾害预警等级
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