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国家自然科学基金(10371012)

作品数:11 被引量:42H指数:3
相关作者:李勇马丽张淑梅张晁军石耀霖更多>>
相关机构:北京师范大学中国地震局地震预测研究所中国科学院研究生院更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划国家科技重大专项更多>>
相关领域:天文地球自动化与计算机技术理学更多>>

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11 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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汉字系统直接构件模型的建立被引量:4
2006年
对于一个汉字系统中的文字集合,构成该集合所有文字的直接构件反映汉字系统的某些结构特征.基于对汉字拆分数据的研究,提出了一个直接构件模型,用于描述汉字集合中的文字数与直接构件数之间的关系.借助于大数定律、重复抽样方法和非线性回归方法,分别建立了金文、小篆、汉隶和宋楷几个具有代表性的、不同时代的汉字系统直接构件关系模型.
李勇周晓文
关键词:非线性回归模型
ON WEIGHTED RANDOMLY TRIMMED MEANS
2007年
A class of robust location estimators called weighted randomly trimmed means are introduced and not only their consistency and asymptotic normality are proved, but their influence functions, asymptotic variances and breakdown points are also derived. They possess the same breakdown points as the median, and some of them own higher asymptotic relative efficiencies at the heavy-tailed distributions than some other well-known location estimators; whereas the trimmed means, Winsorized means and Huber's M-estimator possess higher asymptotic relative efficiencies at the light-tailed distributions, in which Huber's M-estimator is the most robust.
Ting WANGYong LIHengjian CUI
关键词:CONSISTENCY
地下水位变化中的地震信息(英文)
2008年
为挖掘地下水位中蕴含的地震信息,我们通过对地下水位与地震事件序列关系的分析提出了一个新统计量,进而得到一种寻找地震前兆的方法.数据分析表明这种探索地震前兆方法有应用价值.
李勇张淑梅
关键词:统计量地震活动性地下水位
昆仑山口西8.1级大地震前的长周期信号分析
<正> 慢地震研究是目前学术界关注的热点之一,尚有一系列需要研究的问题,但最为主要的是慢地震的识别、慢地震震源位置的确定和慢地震机制。在过去的几十年中,已多次观测到地震在震源处具有异常长的持续时间。可是考虑到发射波的频率...
张晁军石耀霖马丽
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降水与提取地下水位中的地震孕育信息
2007年
有许多因素会引起地下水位变化,如地震的孕育过程、降水、固体潮等。其中我们感兴趣的是地震孕育信息。消除各干扰因素的影响是挖掘隐藏在地下水位中地震孕育信息的一种有效途径。本文提供了两种不同的消除降水因素影响的方法,通过相关分析来比较两种方法的效果,并在此基础上建立了描述地震活动水平的Logistic回归模型。
李勇方维马丽
关键词:地震活动性地下水位时间序列逻辑回归模型
Development and application of the mo-ment-ratio imaging algorithm
2006年
In the moment-ratio imaging algorithm, which is based on the theory of healing of a wound, the energy of each strong earthquake is distributed around the epicenter according to certain rules, and the features of the Moment-ratio value R are analyzed as the space and time change, so that the relationships between the moment-ration value R and strong earthquakes can be found. In the present paper, regions divided, hypocenter depths and events completed magnitude analyses were carried out in the Chinese catalogue. By applying the moment-ratio imaging algorithm in which the parameters are adjusted, the processes of anomaly evolution which correspond to the epicenter and the surrounding value R before earthquakes of M≥7.0 since 1966 in different areas of China were analyzed. It was found that the range area and imminent time of a coming earthquake could be confirmed quantita- tively by analyzing the abnormal temporal and spatial variation of the value R The results showed that the temporal and spatial variation of the value R could quantitatively reflect the temporal and spatial factors of a coming strong earthquake as well as the rule of medium rupture.
黄建平马丽张晁军
震级—频度关系的非线性与6级地震的重要意义
<正> 在地震学研究中,人们越来越认识到6级左右地震的特殊性。在地震区划中,地震地质学家一般只划分6级(或5.5级)以上的潜在震源区,并认为6级以下的地震在空间的分布具有随机性。这主要基于人们能够发现和6级以上地震有关的...
陈时军马丽刘元生
文献传递
地震前兆形变研究被引量:5
2004年
对于定点地面倾斜观测数据 ,考察 0斜率所蕴含的 5级以上地震的前兆信息 ,基于这些前兆信息和地震序列前兆信息构造了 4种预报地震规则 .提出了一种检验地震预报有效性的方法 ,并用于研究 4种预报规则的有效性 .结果表明综合 0斜率和地震序列中的前兆信息 。
李勇袁显春马丽
关键词:地震前兆倾斜仪
Rainfall and Obtaining Information Regarding Earthquake Development Processes from Groundwater Level
2008年
Many factors can cause changes of groundwater level,such as the development process of an earthquake,rainfall,solid earth tides etc.Among these we are interested in information regarding earthquake development processes.Eliminating the influence of various disturbance factors is an effective way to obtain seismic development process information contained in the groundwater level.This paper provides two different ways to remove the rainfall effect,and compares the two methods by means of correlation analysis.Furthermore,based on these a logistic regression model is established to describe the seismicity level.
Li YongFang WeiMa Li
关键词:SEISMICITY
Joint processing and analysis of seismic gravity measurements in Capital Circle area
2006年
In Capital Circle area, there are three groups of repeated gravity measurements observed by different institutes using different instruments or methods. The simultaneous adjustment of absolute and relative measurements and the elimination of systematic error among the relative measurements have been carded out in this paper. Thus an unified temporal gravity change system with absolute reference has been established. On the basis of this, the crustal subsidence effect on gravity, which belongs to non-tectonic factor, is analyzed and the station displacement corrections are carried out, so that the long-wave disturbance is eliminated. So far our following aims are realized: the advantages of the absolute and relative measurement methods are complementary to each other; the contradiction and environment disturbance are eliminated; the amounts of information are enlarged; the sampling interval of time domain is compressed. In a word, the ability of identifying the tectonic activity process is enhanced. The results show that: there are systematic errors between the two groups of relative measurements and within the data of 10 campaigns ; the uneven local crustal subsidence in the southeast of the study area results in a linear rise of gravity value at 10 stations; they can be corrected by the regression analysis. The maps of revised temporal gravity change can obviously and integrally reflect the Ms=5.0 earthquake in Guye on October 6, 1995.
贾民育马丽刘少明张晶孙少安王武星
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