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国家自然科学基金(40775046)

作品数:11 被引量:212H指数:6
相关作者:任福民王小玲林小红李维京刘爱鸣更多>>
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发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家重点基础研究发展计划上海台风研究基金更多>>
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11 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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1957—2004年影响我国的强热带气旋频数和强度变化被引量:22
2007年
以中国气象局西北太平洋热带气旋资料为基础,分析1957—2004年影响我国并达到台风强度以上的三类热带气旋,即生成热带气旋、影响热带气旋和登陆热带气旋的频数和强度的变化。结果表明:强热带气旋频数在1957—2004年间呈显著减少趋势,强度越强,其减少趋势越明显。近50a台风以上强度的强热带气旋频次占总频次的比例没有明显的增加或减少趋势,强台风和超强台风比例呈减少趋势。1957—2004年热带气旋的最大强度呈线性减弱趋势,生成热带气旋和影响热带气旋的平均强度亦呈减弱趋势,登陆台风的平均强度也呈减弱趋势。
王小玲任福民
关键词:登陆热带气旋
Influences of Tropical Cyclones on China During 1965-2004
Using the Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC) and China Meteorological Administration(CMA) tropical cyclone tra...
王小玲吴立广任福民王咏梅李维京
关键词:FREQUENCYINTENSITY
CLIMATOLOGICAL VARIATION FEATURES OF TYPHOON PRECIPITATION INFLUENCING FUJIAN FOR THE PAST 46 YEARS被引量:1
2008年
The results of an analysis of the temporal and spatial distribution of typhoon precipitation influencing Fujian from 1960 to 2005 show that typhoon precipitation in Fujian province occurs from May to November, with the most in August. There has been a decreasing trend since 1960. Typhoon precipitation gradually decreases from the coastal region to the northwestern mainland of Fujian and the maximum typhoon precipitation occurs in the northeast and the south of Fujian. Typhoon torrential rain is one of the extreme rainfall events in Fujian. High frequencies of typhoon torrential rain occur in the coastal and southwest regions of the province. With the impact of Fujian's terrain, typhoon precipitation occurs more easily to the east of the mountains than to the west. Atmospheric circulation at 500 hPa over Asia and sea surface temperature anomalies of the equatorial eastern Pacific are analyzed, with the finding that they are closely connected with the anomaly of typhoon precipitation influencing Fujian, possibly mainly by modulating the northbound track of typhoons via changing the atmosphere circulation to lead to the anomaly of typhoon precipitation over the province
林小红任福民刘爱鸣黄志刚廖廓
登陆中国大陆、海南和台湾的热带气旋及其相互关系被引量:50
2008年
首先,针对登陆中国热带气旋的登陆地点资料仅为地名的现状,利用1951—2004年西北太平洋热带气旋资料和登陆中国热带气旋资料,研究制定了登陆资料信息化方案。该方案包括海岸线近似、登陆位置计算、其他特征量计算和误差订正4个方面。对资料信息化结果的分析表明:信息化登陆资料效果是良好的。在此基础上,对登陆中国热带气旋的基本气候特征进行研究,重点分析了在大陆、海南和台湾登陆的3类热带气旋以及它们的相互关系。结果表明:登陆热带气旋频繁的地区为台湾东部沿海、福建至雷州半岛沿海和海南东部沿海;台湾东部沿海和浙江沿海部分地区是登陆热带气旋平均强度最大的地区,平均登陆强度达到台风级别,其中台湾南端的平均登陆强度为最强,达到强台风级别;5—11月为热带气旋登陆中国季节,集中期为7—9月,8月最多;登陆热带气旋的强度主要集中在热带低压—台风,尤其以强热带风暴和台风最多。对于全部大陆、海南和台湾三地,50多年来登陆热带气旋频数都存在不同程度的减少趋势,但只有登陆海南热带气旋的减少趋势是显著的;而所有登陆风暴(含以上强度)频数均无明显增多或减少趋势。总体而言,登陆大陆的TC最多、初旋最早、终旋最晚、登陆期最长;登陆海南的TC居中;而登陆台湾的TC最少、初旋最晚、终旋最早、登陆期最短。从登陆方式看,登陆一地的TC最多、登陆两地的TC次之,分别占总数的79.2%和20.6%,仅有1个TC登陆三地。在登陆两地的TC中,经台湾登陆大陆的TC频数最多、强度减弱最快,经海南登陆大陆的TC频数次之、强度减弱较慢,经大陆登陆海南的TC频数排行第3、强度减弱较快。
任福民王小玲陈联寿王咏梅
关键词:热带气旋登陆台风气候特征
影响福建热带气旋活动特征分析被引量:3
2011年
分析了1960—2005年影响福建热带气旋(简称TC)的活动特征,结果表明:影响TC频数呈减少趋势;7—9月影响频数多,8月为最多;影响频次的空间分布呈东南-西北递减的带状分布;南海是影响TC生成频数最多的集中区域。分析了TC异常活动的环境场,在TC异常偏多年份,低层ITCZ位置偏北,西北太平洋(WNP)生成TC位置也较偏北,同时在中国东南沿海为异常的气旋性距平环流控制,非常有利于TC的生成和发展。对于低压环流影响年份,在WNP区域TC生成频数偏多偏北情况下影响中国东南沿海地区TC较频繁,则影响福建TC数偏多;反之,ITCZ明显偏弱,中国东南沿海为异常的反气旋性距平环流控制时,影响福建TC数偏少。对亚洲地区500 hPa大气环流分析发现,影响福建TC异常偏多(少)年份,副热带高压位置偏北(南)。
林小红张红雨任福民徐霞
关键词:气候特征ITCZ副热带高压
近46年影响福建的台风降水的气候特征分析被引量:51
2008年
对1960~2005年46年间影响福建的台风降水进行时空分析,结果表明:影响福建的台风降水主要发生在5~11月,8月是台风降水最多的月份;自1960年以来台风降水整体呈下降趋势;在地域分布上台风降水由闽南沿海向闽西北内陆逐渐减小,最大台风降水出现在闽南和闽东北地区;台风暴雨是福建地区的极端强降水事件之一,台风暴雨频发区主要集中在沿海及闽西南地区;受福建山地地形作用山脉以东的台风暴雨发生的概率要大大高于山脉西侧地区。台风降水的异常与亚洲地区500hPa大气环流和赤道东太平洋海温异常关系密切,它们可能主要通过大气环流的改变进而对影响中国台风北上路径起到调制作用,并最终引起福建地区台风降水的异常。
林小红任福民刘爱鸣黄志刚廖廓
关键词:台风降水气候变化
Influences of Tropical Cyclones on China During 1965-2004被引量:5
2008年
Using the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) tropical cyclone track datasets, variations in frequency and intensity of the affecting-China tropical cyclones (ACTCs) are studied for the period of 1965-2004. First, the differences between the two tropical cyclone datasets are examined. The annual frequencies of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific basin are reasonably consistent to each other, while the intensity records are less reliable. The annual numbers of ACTCs based on different datasets are close to each other with similar interdecadal and interannual variations. However, the maximum intensity and the annual frequency of ACTCs for strong categories show great dependence on datasets. Tropical cyclone impacts on China show the same variations as the annual number of ACTCs and also show dependence on datasets. Differences in tropical cyclone impacts on China are mainly caused by datasets used. The annual frequency of ACTCs, especially the length of lifetime of ones that make landfall, and the intensity estimates all have effects on the value of impacts on China.
王小玲吴立广任福民王咏梅李维京
关键词:FREQUENCYINTENSITY
CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS OF TYPHOON PRECIPITATION OVER CHINA被引量:1
2008年
The spatio-temporal characteristics of typhoon precipitation over China are analyzed in this study. The results show that typhoon precipitation covers most of central-eastern China. Typhoon precipitation gradually decreases from the southeastern coastal regions to the northwestern mainland. The maximum annual typhoon precipitation exceeds 700 mm in central-eastern Taiwan and part of Hainan, while the minimum annual typhoon precipitation occurs in parts of Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi and Sichuan, with values less than 10 mm. Generally, typhoons produce precipitation over China during April - December with a peak in August. The annual typhoon precipitation time series for observation stations are examined for long-term trends. The results show that decreasing trends exist in most of the stations from 1957 to 2004 and are statistically significant in parts of Taiwan, Hainan, coastal Southeast China and southern Northeast China. The anomaly of typhoon precipitation mainly results from that of the general circulation over Asia and the Walker Cell circulation over the equatorial central and eastern Pacific. Typhoon torrential rain is one of the extreme rainfall events in the southeastern coastal regions and parts of central mainland. In these regions, torrential rains are mostly caused by typhoons.
王咏梅任福民李维京王小玲
中国台风降水的气候特征被引量:75
2008年
对中国台风降水的时空分布特征进行研究,发现台风降水分布在中国中东部广大地区,台风降水量自东南沿海向西北内陆逐渐减少。台风降水最大值出现在台湾岛的中东部地区和海南岛的个别地区,年平均台风降水量大于700mm,最小值出现在内蒙古、山西、陕西、四川的部分地区,年平均台风降水量不足10mm。台风降水一般出现在4~12月,峰值出现在8月。1957~2004年期间台风降水呈下降趋势。台风降水的异常主要由于亚洲地区大气环流和赤道中东太平洋沃克环流的异常变化所引起。进一步分析发现,台风降水在中国大部分地区为减少趋势,且这种趋势在台湾岛、海南岛、东南沿海部分地区和东北南部较显著。台风暴雨是我国东南沿海及部分内陆地区的极端强降水事件之一,这些地区的暴雨和大暴雨很大程度上是台风带来的。
王咏梅任福民李维京王小玲
关键词:台风降水台风暴雨
STUDIES ON RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN ENSO AND LANDFALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CHINA被引量:2
2010年
The data of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) in China and ENSO events and the NinoZ index during 1951 to 2005 were used to study the relationships between ENSO and landfalling TCs in China. ENSO events from July to September have obvious effects on landfalling TCs in China. When E1 Nifio persists throughout the months, the frequency of landfalling TCs is less than normal, the season of landfalling TCs is shorter, the annually first landfall is later, the annually last landfall is earlier, and the mean intensity is stronger and more landfalling TCs achieve the intensity of typhoon. Otherwise is true for La Nifia. That is to say, ENSO events evolving from July to September show strong prediction signals for landfalling TCs in China. When ENSO ends or starts in a year while the NinoZ index remains neutral in July through September, landfalling TCs also have some impacts of ENSO. E1 Nifio events have more significant effects on landfalling TCs than La Nifia events.
王小玲宋文玲
关键词:ENSO
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