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相关作者:王洪庆韩雷王彬刘京华更多>>
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京津地区一次强对流天气的初生预警技术研究被引量:21
2012年
基于日本MTSAT卫星数据,在Mecikalski等提出的8个指标计分统计方法的基础上,对京津地区的一次强对流天气过程的初生(CI)进行预警试验,并根据试验结果修改了部分指标的阈值。试验表明,经过阈值的适当修改,该方法可以有效地对京津地区的强对流初生提前30分钟进行预警。另外,使用主成分分析(PCA)方法,验证了8个指标中的每一个指标对于预警CI都有重要的作用。
刘京华王彬韩雷王洪庆
关键词:强对流天气
Statistical Characteristics of Convective Initiation in the Beijing-Tianjin Region Revealed by Six-Year Radar Data被引量:2
2014年
Characteristics of convective initiation(CI) in the Beijing-Tianjin region during the warm season of 2008-2013 are examined.A total of 38877 CI cases are identified by a thunderstorm identification,tracking,analysis,and nowcasting algorithm.CI cases are evaluated in the context of associated terrain,weather systems,and land cover properties.The spatial distribution of all CI cases shows that there are dense CI activities around the 200-m elevation,which means that convective storms are more easily triggered over foothills.From 1500-1800 to 0300-0600 BT(Beijing Time),the high-occurrence CI region tends to propagate southeastward(i.e.,from mountains to plains,then to ocean).Among the four local weather systems,the Mongolian cold vortex has the highest CI frequency while the after-trough system has the lowest CI frequency.For the land cover relationships with CI,the urban land cover has the highest CI density and the forest-type land cover has the second highest CI density;these two types of land cover are more conducive to CI formation.
王玉韩雷王洪庆
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